SUspended rates or even in place? Since April 2, the day Donald Trump launched an unprecedented commercial war in recent history, there have been constant contradictory messages from the White House. The clumsy climb initiated by the US President has only reinforced the belief of China that must minimize its dependence on the United States. Even if the tensions decrease, a completely new dynamic was born, conducive to a decoupling of the two largest economies in the world, which seemed impossible.
All in China, from senior officials to small factor owners, now recognize the risks raised by exposure to the US market. Since the new tariffs assumed that they will enter into force, Chinese exporters have been in search of new markets to replace US consumers.
The tour of Chinese President Xi Jinping for Vietnam, Malaysia and Cambodia shows that Beijing is looking to strengthen their commercial ties with more reliable partners. The European Union and the main emerging countries are also part of this strategy. Brazil, having surpassed the United States as the main supplier of agricultural products in China, falls in this category. This realization is not exclusive to China. The Rate Wall erected by Washington is forcing all countries to look elsewhere.
Donald Trump is, paradoxically, to contribute to the appearance of a world to avoid the United States. This significant realignment affects more than just trade. The withdrawal of Washington of international organizations and their disdain now discolored by the established international order, historical alliances and US confirmations, such as support for Ukraine against Russia, also fit in this point of view.
Beijing can only be satisfied with the abandonment of American soft power to which he went. An example of this is the abrupt closure of Radio Free Asia, which played a central role in informing the Uyghur community. By pointing out that they are ready to give up, through fatigue or fatigue, their central role in world affairs held for decades, the United States is creating an empty China can be tempted to fill.
Since the beginning of Trump’s second term, Beijing, who already criticized the blind support of the United States to Israel despite the bloody destruction of Gaza, has positioned himself as a moral successor. However, if China’s new ambitions begin to materialize, they should be considered with caution, only in the light of the global created by Trump.
Because Beijing’s commercial policy, whose objective is to download excess production at any cost because its slow internal demand cannot absorb it, continues to threaten jobs in Europe and in many other countries. The disastrous registration of human rights remains an obstacle significantly for many democracies, including European. It is likely that it is necessary commitments to Beijing to contain American disorder, but China is barely in a position to give a conference to the world.
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