Climate change is no longer a distant threat, it is transforming its grocery bill today. Agricultural and energy -intensive transport systems that bring us strawberries in December and throughout the year Coffee is contributing to climate change and when interrupted by it. It is a worrying environmental justice problem That the 27 countries that are already hunger access points generate less than 5% of the total emissions of he G7 nations.
The scientific consensus is that an average temperature increase of 3 to 4 centrigrades will risk global food security, threatening each population and sending hundreds of millions of people in search of food. A recent study of global agriculture of the Arizona State University concluded that product yields could fall 35% for 2100.
For now, rich countries are crowded with famine. But nobody is immune to a changing climate. If you are paying attention to your edible bill in 2025, you have already noticed that some of your favorite meals become more complicated to find and more exenous. You are paying more for eight foods today, courtesy of climate change.
Koffee
Like soybeans, coffee appreciates a warm and humid climate. Coffee grows through the tropics, but Brazil is the largest producer in the world. Brazil grows 28% of the robust resistant to heat in the world and 41% of the most tasty and heat sensitive Arabica. But Brazil has decreased significantly in coffee yields thanks to climate change.
TO Study study That the adequate global area for Arabica coffee will decrease by half by 2050. Only in 2024, Arab prices increased by 80%, and wholesale prices reached a maximum of almost 50 years. The current drought conditions of Brazil that affect almost 60% of the country, which is expected to reduce production by 4.4% in 2025, have caused prices prices to trigger historical maximums in 2025, with expensive greed.
Heating temperatures have some farmers in Italy in the hope of growing their coffee beans soon. But even if Italy renounces cultivated tomatoes, it will be enough to replace the 2.16 million hectares that Brazil currently dedicates to coffee.
Chocolate
Bad news for chocolate lovers: the climatic crisis is hitting the production of hard cocoa. Cocoa grows mainly in Ivory and Ghana coast, where increasingly severe droughts have made large areas not suitable for crop growth.
In 2024, global cocoa stocks fell to their lowest levels in a decade. Price increases meant that cocoa exceeded the growth of all other products in the value chain. At the beginning of 2025, chocolate manufacturers such as Hershey’s reported profit forecasts below the expectations of analysts, with premium chocolate products costs that increase by up to 30% in some markets.
The low supplies and shooting costs have led to innovations in the chocolate industry, with companies such as Voyage Foods, Planet to Foods and Food Brewer that develop alternatives without coconut for the future to the proof of the industry.
Corn (corn)
The United States is the second largest corn producer in the world (after China), producing billions of pounds per year, mainly in California and the west medium. Climate change is already affecting this vital crop, since NASA investigation shows that corn yields could decrease by 24% already under high greenhouse gas emissions scenarios.
TO Study 2025 Of the Environmental Defense Fund that Almost all counties in Iowa will see corn yields that are more than 5% lower than they would have been without climate change By 2030, with more than half seeing decreases or 10% or more. These reductions could significantly affect everything from food prices to ethanol production.
The effects vary according to the region. SThe areas of the Uncle in the southeast of the United States see changes in optimal growth conditions, while drought conditions and the highest duration of critical growth phases have led to important crop failures throughout the country in recent years.
Avocados
Avocados need temperatures that are not too hot or too cold. Mexico, which provides the United States for 80% of its avocados, is caught in a worrying cycle: climate change affects Crops, but farmers are under pressure to grow more to keep up with the growing global demand.
Avocado prices have increased by an average or 17% between 2023 and 2025. In expansion of cultivation lands by reducing forests, particularly in the Amazon, it contributes to climate change. The unusual climate already threatens production, creating a vicious circle of warmer temperatures that contribute to reduced vegetation, which further exacerbates climate change. Water scarcity has become particularly problematic. The average avocado that requires that around 60 gallons of water in California and up to 85 gallons in Mexico grow at a time when water becomes increasingly precious in the regions affected by drought.
Companies like Chipotle have cited the growing avocado costs as a reason for menu pricing incentives. In December 2024, Chipotle raised the prices of its menu by 2%, attributing the increase to the incessious costs of the key ingredients, including avocados.
Rice
Rice is a basic dietary element for more than half of the world’s population. Climate change affects rice in multiple ways: increased flooding in some areas, drought in others and increased temperatures that reduce yields.
In accordance with a 2025 study published in Nature FoodWith global or 2 ° C (3.6 ° F) heating, up to 31% of the land of basic crops would be lost, with rice among the most affected crops. Higher CO₂ levels also reduce the nutritional value of rice, the decrease in protein content, iron and zinc, essential nutrients for billions of people who trust rice as its main source of food.
In Southeast Asia, where much of the world’s rice, cultivated and unpredictable monsoon patterns have interrupted traditional growth stations and led prices volatility in global markets.
Wheat
Global warming affects wheat differently from the regions. In northern latitudes, warming temperatures have extended growth stations, but heat stress and drought have reduced yields in the warmest regions. NASA’s climatic models project that wheat could see global growth in the demand for approximately 17% by 2030, but this masked significant regional variations.
Althegh’s global production could increase, climatic instability means more unpredictable price crops and volatility. In recent years, extreme climatic events such as unprecedented heat waves in the northwest of the Pacific have damaged wheat crops in critical growth stages.
A worrying development is that the increase in CO₂ levels, while increasing potential growth, reduces protein content in wheat, reducing the nutritional value of everything, from bread to pasta.
Soy
Whether she is a steak of the steak or a vegan that depends on the Tofu for the protein, her diet is based on soybeans. United States, Brazil and Argentina Produce about 80% of the world’s soybeans, an important taxpayer to deforestation in South America.
Recent projects of the United States Agriculture Modeling Department. Some states will feel these effects more acute: the US center states. UU. They could see that soybeans decrease up to 7.1%.
This decrease not only affects its tofu, it affects everything from animal feed to the production of vegetable oil. The United States is expected to experience a decrease of $ 319 million in soy exports by 2036, with a reduction of $ 171 million in exports to China alone.
Tomatoes
The United States is the second largest tomato producer in the world (after China), producing 35 billion pounds of tomatoes per year, mainly in California and Florida. But the United States still imports more than half of its fresh tomatoes in Mexico and Canada. This percentage may have to grow as the effects of climate change feel more and more in California through forest fires and droughts (which causes a domestic shortage in 2021).
Meanwhile, Florida experiences the increasingly severe hurricanes seasons. Italy is another great tomato producer, but they are suffering a shortage of cans to export their tomatoes. You may want to start cultivating your own tomatoes while you can.
Eggs
Although it is mainly affected by disease outbreaks instead of direct climatic impacts, egg production feels the effects of climate -related stressors. The ongoing avian flu epidemic, which has led to the sacrifice or around 160 million birds, has been exacerbated in the legs by changing migration patterns and stress in corral birds related to climatic factors.
The USDA predicts that egg costs will increase by another 41% in 2025, which means that eggs could cost up to $ 7 per boxes. This strong increase has accelerated the development of alternatives such as liquid formats based on fertmented plant plants and egg proteins.
Your final result
Food is a commercial product that is negotiated worldwide and climatic events in a region of increase prices and cause Global shortage. What we are seeing in 2025, only the beginning of what economists call is “Climateflet”, where extreme climatic events boost the persistent price of food worldwide.
Central banks around the world are examining the impact of climate change on prices, with projections that suggest global warming Could add up to 3 percentage points to Annual Food Inflation and up to 1.2 points to lead inflation worldwide by 2035.
The good news? We can act now. SupplementOrbet regenerative agriculture, food waste reduction and change to a climate resistant diet can help ensure our food future. Each food option we make today affects the tomorrow menu.
OneDitor Note: This article was originally published in April 5, 2022, and was updated in May 2025 with the latest data and research.
